Bullish Growth Stocks
Catalyst Setups for the Week – April 15 Edition
Three Themes I’m Watching Right Now
FDA phasing out animal testing in favor of AI models
Rare earth compounds and U.S. resource security
Argentina’s macro pivot
Why Themes Matter
Contrary to what most traders believe, stocks don’t move meaningfully on chart patterns alone. They need a reason. That reason can be insider buying, earnings growth, regulatory shifts, new product cycles, or sector-wide momentum. Without a reason, patterns are just noise—and I’ve chased plenty of them.
Once there’s a reason, then you look for patterns. You don’t need to know everything. In fact, you probably need to know less—but you need to focus on the right things.
Not every idea will work. That’s fine. Risk management handles the failures. Don’t blindly chase everything I mention.
Some setups trend well. We trail stops and let them work.
And occasionally, a theme hits way bigger than expected. That’s when I get paid. But I don’t know which ones will take off. I don’t need to. I just take the setups as they come and let the market decide. It’s a calm, simple way to play the game.
FDA Shifts Away from Animal Testing
If you missed it, go read my earlier note on this topic.
My top names here are VEEV, CERT, and SLP.
CERT and SLP had strong moves on volume and are now consolidating tightly—holding gains well.
VEEV is a more under-the-radar play in this space.
This is a classic setup: high-volume breakout, tight consolidation. I’m watching for continuation to the upside and will add aggressively if that happens.
Rare Earths and Resource Independence
Even if the U.S. works out a trade deal with China, I don’t see a future where we stay dependent on foreign powers for strategic metals. This theme has long legs.
Right now, these stocks are volatile and sloppy. I’m already positioned but waiting for cleaner bases to form.
My favorite name here is MP.
Argentina
On 4/14 Argentina announced some news - They secured 42B in medium term funding and are starting to ease currency controls. Many stocks popped on this news. Lets take a look.
🔑 Key Takeaways:
IMF and Institutional Support ($42B)
➤ Adds credibility and stability to Argentina’s macro outlook.
➤ Reduces risk of sovereign default.
➤ Could lead to re-ratings of Argentina-linked equities and bonds.Abandoning Tight Currency Controls
➤ Suggests a shift toward a more market-driven exchange rate.
➤ Could attract foreign capital back into the country.
➤ Eases the ability for companies to import/export, convert earnings, and repatriate profits.📈 Implications for Stocks:
Here’s how this could affect sectors and specific stocks:
Argentina-Exposed Stocks (U.S.-listed ADRs)
YPF (energy/oil):
➤ Might benefit from improved access to capital, better currency liquidity, and higher investor confidence.
➤ Potential re-rating if currency volatility decreases.GGAL (Grupo Galicia) and BMA (Banco Macro) (banks):
➤ Easing capital controls and improved reserves boost financial system stability.
➤ May unlock earnings growth and allow resumption of dividends.CEPU (Central Puerto) and EDN (Edenor) (utilities):
➤ A freer currency could raise input costs, but if IMF funding includes energy subsidies reform, it could improve margins and transparency.PAM (Pampa Energia) (energy/utilities):
➤ Could benefit from improved operating environment, especially if currency stabilization enables capex and investment.
🛒 Consumer & Exporters
Agri-exporters (notably soy, beef, wheat) may thrive if export restrictions are eased.
Retailers and local manufacturers could see cost volatility but benefit from normalized imports and stabilized inflation.
💡 Macro Themes to Watch:
Reflation of Argentina trade — sentiment shift can trigger fast rallies in distressed Argentine names.
Currency devaluation impact — could still be painful short-term, but sets stage for long-term competitiveness.
Capital market reform — easier cross-border capital flow could unlock Argentina’s equities for global institutional investors again.
As mentioned, many of the stocks gapped up and are now digesting gains. Trading around the lows of today might offer a good risk/reward setup if this actually turns out to be favorable and investor flows start flocking back in.
Final Thought
I don’t know which of these themes will hit—or if any will. But I know I’m fishing in a pond that has real monsters. Whether I hook one today, next month, or next year isn’t up to me.
What is up to me is being prepared, being focused, and letting the market do its thing.
Good luck out there.
—NS